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Eagles vs. Seahawks Betting Prediction: Odds and Picks
30th November, 06:21Carson Wentz and the Eagles will look to shake off last week's disappointing loss and move back over .500 on Sunday afternoon at Lincoln Financial Field. Doing so will be no easy task against an 8-2 Seahawks team fresh off a bye week following their best win of the season, a 27-24 overtime triumph in San Francisco. Can the Eagles grab a statement win over one of the NFC's top teams to potentially springboard a December run, or will the Seahawks show their mettle once again this week with another tough road victory? Let's get into it with our Eagles vs. Seahawks betting prediction and preview.
The Seahawks enter this matchup well-rested and relatively healthy with one of the NFL's best records, yet it's the middling Eagles that were installed by oddsmakers as a small favorite across PA online sportsbooks (and in other markets). Perhaps unsurprisingly, money has poured in on Seattle throughout the week pushing this line down to what essentially amounts to a pick'em. Led by Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson (2,737 yards, 23 TD, 2 INT), who is playing at an MVP level, the Seahawks have found ways to win tight games on a weekly basis.
Meanwhile, what was supposed to be a potent Eagles' offense continues to sputter in the wake of several key injuries and underachieving play. That underwhelming offense was on full display a week ago when its final nine drives included seven punts, a lost fumble, and a turnover on downs to close the game.
It's hard to fault anybody who's not overly enthusiastic about a rebound performance from the Eagles this week, but I am.
DraftKings Sportsbook PA has partnered with Crossing Broad to bring new users an exclusive +300 odds boost on the Eagles to win outright. As always, DraftKings Sportsbook also offers new users up to a $200 first bet match, along with plenty of other odds boosts and promos.
FOX Bet also has tons of solid action available today, including the Eagles +3.5 with +100 odds. Forget the point spread, forget the juice, get up to 4.5 points of value on the Eagles at +3.5. Essentially, bettors can double their money if the Eagles win the game or lose by a field goal or less.
Over at FanDuel Sportsbook PA, they continue to run a $500 risk-free bet offer for new users and a Close Loss Insurance of up to $50 on all moneyline wagers that lose by six points or less.
Some of above promos are also available in the state of New Jersey. For a comprehensive look at the New Jersey market, hit our NJ online sports betting page that is stocked with sportsbook reviews, welcome offers, and signup bonuses.
Early morning rain in the Philadelphia area is expected to move out by early afternoon, but there's a chance of a lingering shower hanging around by kickoff. Temperatures will be in the low 40s under cloudy skies and will rise into the mid 40s by the fourth quarter as skies clear. WNW winds could also play a factor as they are expected to blow from 15-17 mph throughout the game.
Here are the current Eagles vs. Seahawks betting odds at some of the top legal online sportsbooks as of 9:00 a.m. Sunday morning:
The projection model has the Eagles favored by a half-point point and with a 51% win probability. With Philly currently favored by one point at most sportsbooks, the ELO projection suggests there is roughly a half-point of betting value on the Seahawks.
Meanwhile, the implied win probability of DraftKings -114 moneyline odds on the Eagles is 53.3%, which means that the moneyline price is more expensive than what the ELO projection would suggest (-104 would be in line with a 51% win probability).
As for the Seahawks, the implied win probability of their +100 moneyline odds at DraftKings is 50%, essentially meaning that they are appropriately priced and thus possess no added value.
There's some good news and some bad news for the Eagles on the injury front this week. First, the bad news.
Right tackle Lane Johnson (concussion) is out, running back Jordan Howard (stinger) remains sidelined, and wide receiver Nelson Agholor (knee) is also expected to miss today's game.
The Eagles will, however, get back linebacker Nigel Bradham, while it also appears wide receiver Alshon Jeffery will suit up:
With Johnson out, the Eagles will slide rookie tackle Andre Dillard over to the right side. Running backs Miles Sanders, Boston Scott, and Jay Ajayi will shoulder the load in Howard's absence. As for the Agholor injury, I'd like to tell you that the Eagles will miss his presence given their struggles at the wide receiver position this season, but it's hard to say that given how poorly he's played.
Wide receiver Tyler Lockett averted serious injury after suffering a leg contusion against the 49ers two weeks ago and will play today. Tight end Luke Wilson (hamstring) is doubtful, while defensive end Jadeveon Clowney (knee/hip) is a game-time decision. It would certainly make Dillard's life far easier if he doesn't play.
In addition to the deals mentioned above, FOX Bet has plenty of other boosts and specials available. Seattle is part of Colin Cowherd's Blazin' 5 Special this week. Here's the full promo: Seahawks (+1.5), Giants (+6), Raiders (-3), Broncos (+3.5), Cowboys (+6.5). Bettors who snag this special at +100 odds get paid if at least three picks are correct.
Additionally, FOX Bet had 13 different bet boosts available, including:
Some quick notes on these props:
DraftKings Sportsbook also has an odds boost on Carson Wentz to score two or more touchdowns and the Eagles to win at +330 odds.
Wentz has failed to throw multiple touchdown passes in five of his last six games, but faces the league's 29th ranked passing defense today. After facing the Patriots' elite unit a week ago, the Eagles-even with their injury woes-should have some opportunities to make plays. Wentz has thrown multiple touchdowns in four games this season and registered both a passing and rushing touchdown in another, but the Eagles are only 2-3 this season when he accounts for multiple scores. Still, if you like the Eagles to win, you have to figure Wentz will need to put together one of his best performances of the season, so this is a logical boost.
Note: All trends date back to the start of the 2003 season, unless otherwise noted.
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS when favored by three points or less following a loss under Doug Pederson.
Pacific timezone teams coming off a bye week are only 3-7 ATS and 2-8 SU in the eastern timezone during the month of November or later. They're 1-4 ATS and 0-5 SU as an underdog.
Road underdogs with an .800 record or better in Week 11 or later are only 2-5-1 ATS and 0-3 ATS against teams coming off a loss.
The Eagles have lost 10 consecutive home games the week immediately following a home loss, though this hasn't happened since the 2015 season.
The Seahawks are 12-4-2 ATS as an underdog of three points or less in Russell Wilson's starts and 5-1 ATS as a dog of three points or less in his starts during November and December.
There are some strong applicable trends on the under ahead of this one. Doug Pederson's Eagles at home and the under has been a great play dating back to his first season:
The over is 14-4 in a home team's third straight home game when the total closes between 47.5-48.5 points (keep an eye on the total as it has dipped down under 47.5 as of early Sunday morning).
Recap: The trends strongly favor the under, but I think the Eagles offense will come out and make some plays today. I don't like it enough to lock it in as an official pick, but this one feels like an over-I like the idea of some points being scored in a team's third straight home game after back-to-back unders, and I'm less than enamored with both defenses.
It takes quite the stomach to do it, but I'm on the Eagles today. You have to respect the Seahawks' start and ability to finish close games, but within several of those close wins is some evidence that suggests their record is inflated just a bit. A one-point win at home over the winless Bengals, an overtime triumph over the 3-7-1 Cardinals, and wins propelled by late missed field goals (Rams and 49ers). I get it. You are what your record says you are, and the Seahawks are good, but there has been an element of luck involved, too.
Moreover, west coast teams coming east off a bye week late in the season haven't performed particularly well. The Eagles are the more desperate team, they're at home, and they're playing better defensive football, so I'm going to take a leap of faith that the offense bounces back with a quality performance after last week's dud.