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New England Patriots playoff odds and predicted total wins: NFL futures picks and best bets
27th May, 18:00Will the New England Patriots make the 2020 NFL playoffs? Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our pick. We also predict their exact win total for the upcoming season.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Sunday, May 24 at 3:45 p.m. ET.
Will the New England Patriots make the 2020 NFL playoffs?
Yes: -205 | No: +165
The Patriots enter the 2020 season looking to extend an 11-year playoff streak in which they won the AFC East Division crown each of those years. The last time they missed the playoffs, they went 11-5 in 2008 and finished second in the division.
Still, the bet to make is NO (+165). New England begins life without future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady. He's expected to be replaced under center by either Jarrett Stidham or Brian Hoyer. The Pats' easiest route to the postseason remains via the division title, but the Buffalo Bills are primed to win their first division crown since 1995.
A $10 bet on the Patriots missing the 2020 playoffs returns a profit of $16.50. With question marks at the most important position, it's the easy choice to make.
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How many games will the New England Patriots win in 2020? Bands BAND ODDS 0-4 Wins +4000 5-8 Wins +130 9-12 Wins -160 13-16 Wins +2000
The books are hedging against some major regression for the Pats by pricing the 5-8 win band as the second favorite. A $10 bet here will fetch a modest profit of $13 as what is the most realistic result.
Chase the value and count on disaster to strike the Pats in their first season without Brady leading the way. Bet 0-4 WINS (+4000) for a $400 return on a $10 bet. New England has owned the division over the last two decades, but with the quarterback competition now even, look for a 3-3 or 2-4 result in divisional play. In addition to the Bills, the Pats will play three road games against 2019 playoff teams, including the Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs.
The Pats will also play back-to-back West Coast road games against the Los Angeles Chargers and Los Angeles Rams in early December. Tough home games will come against the Las Vegas Raiders, Baltimore Ravens and Arizona Cardinals.
How many games will the New England Patriots win in 2020? Exact number
Following suit of the above selection, look for the Pats to win exactly 4 games at +6500. A $10 bet will fetch a profit of $650.
The Pats haven't won fewer than 10 games since going 9-7 in 2002 and they haven't finished with four or fewer wins since 1992. The team's decision to not address the quarterback position since Brady's free-agent departure will prove costly. It's possible New England ends up in position to select Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence at the top of the 2021 NFL Draft.
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