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New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and best bets - WSTale.com

14th September, 13:55

The New York Yankees (97-52) and Toronto Blue Jays (58-90) meet for the middle game of their three-game weekend series Saturday at 3:07 p.m. ET.

Through Friday night's 6-5 loss in 12 innings, the Yankees are 13-6 against the Blue Jays in 2019. Against some analytics that have pegged them as a team to fade, New York is 29-14 (.674) since Aug. 1. Over that stretch the Bronx Bombers have been solid on the road, going 15-9 with an .889 OPS and a 4.38 ERA.

Odds provided by BetMGM; for a full-set of today's sports odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.

LHP James Paxton vs. RHP Jacob Waugespack

Paxton has put together a nice late-season run. The big southpaw has given Manager Aaron Boone at least six frames in 6-of-his-last-8 starts. Over that stretch, Paxton has held foes to a .534 OPS while recording a 2.57 ERA. He's sported a friendly BABIP over that period, but his skills still yield an xFIP in 3.25 territory, and he's even found a bit more life on an already impressive fastball.

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Waugespack tossed 3.2 innings in a relief appearance against the Yankees on Aug. 10. The 25-year-old rookie was roughed up for three runs on three hits and as many walks. He allowed two home runs and didn't get many swings and misses. Waugespack has registered a 4.55 ERA/5.23 xFIP in 10 games. He's backed by a Toronto bullpen having a nice month (3.84 xFIP), but it's a relief unit that ranks bottom-third for the year in that same category (4.75). The right-hander is coming off a rocky outing at Tampa Bay and - albeit in a small sample - has not pitched well in Toronto.

Moneyline:NYY -255/TOR +230 doesn't have a lean either way.

Run line:YANKEES -1.5, -165 comes through as an opportunity. New York owns a .687 win percentage in games decided by two or more runs. Here, a $10 wager at -165 would return $6.06 in profit.

Over/under: New York is banged up (Edwin Encarnacion doubtful, Gary Sanchez out), but they have been all season. Still, after a long night and with 40-man rosters in play, this one could easily turn into a six or seven-run Triple-A game. Take the UNDER 9.5, -105 in a low-confidence play. A $10 wager here would return $9.52 in profit.

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