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NFL Week 6 betting tips: Expert picks Jaguars vs. Saints for multiple wagers
10th October, 20:59Now five weeks into the season we have a solid sample size to analyze when making NFL bets -- and the same goes for bookmakers.
However, there always seems to be a game where the bettor feels they have an edge over the book. To help us pinpoint that matchup we talked with betting expert Joe Rodgers, senior writer for BetIndianaNews, about the Week 6 schedule.
Which game are you targeting with the most confidence in Week 4?
Saints at Jaguars (-1), 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
The Saints (4-1, 3-2-0 ATS) are rolling with Teddy Bridgewater, while Gardner Minshew and the Jaguars (2-3, 3-2-0 ATS) are licking their wounds after a loss to the Panthers, but Rodgers is confident Jacksonville can win this game and cover the spread.
"I love buy-low/sell-high spots, and the public has fallen in love with the Saints after rattling off three straight wins and covers," Rodgers told Omnisport. "The Jags, especially if Jalen Ramsey returns, boast a much stronger secondary and we should expect Teddy Bridgewater to revert back to his short-throw tendencies."
The Steelers' locker room has become a makeshift hospital ward this season. Mason Rudolph will likely take a week off after being knocked out cold against the Ravens, and James Washington has already been ruled out against Los Angeles.
Pittsburgh will, presumably, have trouble scoring, but that doesn't mean the Chargers will run away with this one Sunday.
"Since 2015, the Chargers are just 14-13 straight up and 9-17-1 against the spread when laying the points at home," Rodgers said. "Sharp bettors have long faded Philip Rivers in this role, and despite Pitt likely being down to a third-string QB, you could argue L.A. has just as many injury issues as defensive end Melvin Ingram and cornerback Casey Hayward are both questionable."
Is there a prop bet out there that makes sense to target?
Jaguars wide receiver Dede Westbrook OVER 4.5 receptions vs. Saints
Yes, this is another Jaguars bet.
Minshew and his mustache have been most heavily linked with DJ Chark and his breakout season, but the mustachioed quarterback may be better suited to feed Westbrook against New Orleans.
"Minshew has a great matchup with Westbrook on P.J. Williams in the slot -- much easier than Chark against Marshon Lattimore," Rodgers said. "Cooper Kupp (5), Tyler Lockett (10) and Chris Godwin (5) have all had more than 4.5 receptions from the slot against the Saints, and I like Westbrook to get to at least five too."
Vikings running back Dalvin Cook UNDER 75.5 rushing yards vs. Eagles
Cook's stat lines this season are tasty with four games with at least 110 rushing yards. But it's that one game against the Bears where Cook had only 35 yards that has Rodgers betting against the back vs. the Eagles.
"Cook has only faced one top-10 defense -- Chicago," Rodgers said, pointing out the Eagles' top-ranked rush defense. "Philly is beatable in the secondary, but not up front."
**BetIndianaNews.com, the content arm of the BetIndiana mobile sportsbook, delivers news and analysis tailored to the state's sports bettor. It brings the latest information and sharpest analysis to help inform wagering decisions with articles and podcasts that put a special emphasis on Indiana sports, as well as coverage of sports betting from a national perspective.**