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The Match II: Odds, picks and prop bets for Woods-Manning vs. Mickelson-Brady
21st May, 11:14The Match II: Odds, picks and prop bets for Woods-Manning vs. Mickelson-Brady
Tiger Woods teams up with Peyton Manning Sunday to battle Phil Mickelson and Tom Brady in The Match: Champions for Charity. The sequel to the Woods vs. Mickelson showdown from Nov. 2018 is being held at Medalist Golf Club in Hobe Sound, Fla. and will begin at 2 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the best prop bets for The Match II and make our picks.
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The Match II: Outright odds and best bet to win
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, May 20 at 3 p.m. ET.
Woods/Manning: -223 | Mickelson/Brady: +160 (Price Boost: +180)
Woods and Manning, the rightful favorites, carried -208 odds Monday. With a $10 bet at the current price point returning a profit of just $4.81 with an outright win, the play is to HOLD until Sunday in wait of a higher number.
Rory McIlroy and Dustin Johnson were sizable favorites over Rickie Fowler and Matthew Wolff ahead of the TaylorMade Driving Relief event last week, but the line came much closer on the day of the match. Expect similar movement this week - especially with the inclusion of the famous NFL quarterbacks and a broader, sports-starved audience - to get the best odds on the favorites closer to tee time.
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The Match II: Best prop bets Longest drive on hole 3: Mickelson (+130)
Even amid a poor start to the 2020 PGA Tour season, Mickelson, ranked 222nd in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings, was outdriving Woods (16th) 301.1 yards to 291.1. The two PGA Tour pros share the +130 odds, but Mickelson is the pick.
Both Manning and Brady are +700 but don't overthink this one. They're still amateur golfers. Note: Per BetMGM rules, the ball has to be in the fairway to count.
Nearest the pin on hole 4: Brady (+600)
Though we're trusting the pros above, the playing field becomes a little more level on the short par-3 fourth. It's the shortest of the four par 3s at Medalist at just 191 yards in length.
Manning is typically the better golfer of the two future Hall of Fame QBs with a handicap of 6.4 to Brady's 8.1, but on such a short hole chase the value with Brady holding the longest odds.
Who will lead after 9 holes? Woods/Manning (-112)
The teams will play the Four-Ball (Best Ball) format on the front nine with the better score of each twosome counting as the team score on each hole. As such, the first nine holes will primarily be Woods vs. Mickelson.
Trust in Woods' superior world ranking and better play earlier in the 2020 season. The halftime odds are much more appealing for the favorites than their outright odds, and things will become much less predictable with a modified alternate shot format being played on the back.
Who will win hole 18? Woods/Manning (+220)
The expectation is that The Match II will go right down to the wire and the final hole, if not a playoff. It's a charity event and it's being televised; organizers will do all they can with various side bets and challenges to draw this out to an exciting finale.
Once there, stick by the opening favorites to pull off a dramatic victory. Woods will have his revenge over Mickelson, and Manning has plenty of reasons for wanting to get back at Brady.
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